[meteorite-list] Tata-Foumzgit Martian Fall. The most significant fall of this century?

From: MexicoDoug <mexicodoug_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Jan 2012 23:23:03 -0500 (EST)
Message-ID: <8CEA08B57A56141-16C4-8982F_at_webmail-d090.sysops.aol.com>

Hi Chris, Partly that which tips the odds (what is it every 10,000
years of so?), but mainly it is flipping a coin that already favors
Mars. The four Martian results do not permit the drawing of
conclusions as the data is insufficient.

- 8 Martian meteorites with pairing group TKW's equal or greater than 4
kg are known and half were observed falls.
- 3 Lunar meteorites with pairing group TKW's equal or greater than 4
kg are known and none were observed.

Just because you can count the number of falls, doesn't mean you will
notice a small fall with equal probability, so one needs to consider
the size distribution of the recoveries when interpreting their
statistics. Only 4 Martians have been witnessed and the 50 year gaps
do not have a divine launch and guidance system - purely coincidental.
Another one could fall tomorrow (fingers crossed). Mike is confused by
this because he has done in statistics what is referred to as unfounded
DATA DREDGING and found a correlation that has no statistical
confidence worthy of significance, but his bias creates his confusion.

You don't need to understand the tedium of statistics to look at the
above data and say, but if one of the three Lunars were witnessed all
would be ok. Fact is - no one was watching that one. Further on that,
all three Lunar finds happened in unpopulated deserts without even
considering terrestrial ages. Yet all four large Martian happened over
populations. Must be the slingshot effect - of the little green
leprechauns on Mars. So, Mike is now wondering, how come the three
biggest Martians fell in populated areas and the three biggest lunars
didn't. It clearly is a conspiracy, right?

Kindest wishes
Doug


-----Original Message-----
From: Chris Spratt <cspratt at islandnet.com>
To: meteorite-list <meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com>
Sent: Fri, Jan 13, 2012 10:12 pm
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Tata-Foumzgit Martian Fall. The most
significant fall of this century?


I suspect that the close proximity of the Earth/Moon system would have
"cleared out" any collissional debris a few thousand of years ago.

Chris Spratt
(Via my iPhone)
______________________________________________
HAPPY HOLIDAYS!!
Visit the Archives at
http://www.meteoritecentral.com/mailing-list-archives.html
Meteorite-list mailing list
Meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com
http://six.pairlist.net/mailman/listinfo/meteorite-list
Received on Fri 13 Jan 2012 11:23:03 PM PST