[meteorite-list] More evidence of building blocks of DNA in meteorites
From: JoshuaTreeMuseum <joshuatreemuseum_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Wed, 10 Aug 2011 13:30:04 -0400 Message-ID: <66953B81DB5D463C8783B35099788375_at_ET> One of the few things I recall from college Probability Theory class is that if something happened once, no matter how unlikly, it can happen again. For example, since the Chicago Cubs won back to back World Series championships in 1907 and 1908, theoretically, they could do it again. Meteorites containing peptides, amino acids, nucleobase isomers and other building blocks bombard a planet that already more than likely contains the same stuff, since it is composed of accreted asteroids, comets and meteorites. So we have these compounds in an oxidizing atmosphere with lots of lightning storms. Add in the hundreds of known constraints on the parameters for carbon-based life forms, (distance from the nearest star, perfect magneto-field, etc., etc.) What is the logical probability that these compounds will randomly assemble themselves into DNA and RNA molecules that will self-replicate and start using proteins to build living cells. The cells will then assemble into tissues and organs until a complex multi-cellular organism results. These organisms then sexually reproduce (Yaaaay!) and diversify until they evolve into humans. The humans randomly develop consciousness, self-awareness and intelligence. Sure, this could happen again. And Ernie Banks could come out of retirement, suit up, and hit the game-winning home run as the Cubs cruise to a consecutive World Series victory! Phil Whitmer Joshua Tree Earth & Space Museum ------------------------------------ Hello It is of course OK to be skeptical of claims of life elsewhere in the Universe. Carolus Linnaeus, the founder of biology, to avoid considering sailor tales (and later Bigfoot, Yeti, and Loch Ness claims) insisted on a type specimen. The controversy over ALH 84001 boils down to whether the truncated hexaoctahedral magnetite crystals found constitute a type specimen, or were they produced abiotically on Mars (they are not produced abiotically on Earth). It is always possible to posit by some Rube Goldberg-like mechanism am abiotic origin to almost any trace biological evidence. Insisting that evidence absolutely not have any abiotic orgin possible under any circumstances is a hurdle too high and in my view, too illogical. That is the difficulty. Of possible use in this brouhaha is Rudolf Carnap's theory of logical probability assigned to theories. An accepted type specimen is of course, proof positive; the probability of extraterrestrial life then is 100%. But the probability is still nonzero that microscopic life indeed does exist under the frozen lake of Elysium. Assigning probability to a theory is a difficult task, and the popular media folks are totally clueless on the concept. IMVHO, the evidence is such that it is more probable microscopic life exists/existed on Mars that not. But Carnap's ideas, endorsed by Martin Gardner, will be helpful in this situation. An outline of them is found in Carnap, R. Philosophical Foundations of Physics, Basic Books, London 1966. edited by Martin Gardner. Francis Graham Kent State University Received on Wed 10 Aug 2011 01:30:04 PM PDT |
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