[meteorite-list] Trends with WI Fall and alike for July
From: Greg Catterton <star_wars_collector_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Thu, 1 Jul 2010 13:05:09 -0700 (PDT) Message-ID: <888513.92223.qm_at_web46414.mail.sp1.yahoo.com> The WI fall was a strange one. I think too many people were trying to get rich of others. Before anyone comes at me with the numbers of the trip, I know and I understand, but at the same time, it can be done for much less. When I see reports of the landowners selling the stones for less then $10 per gram (I know of several who would not pay more the $3 per gram!)and then see them selling it for $100/g or more, thats just too much... Why do you think the 2 kg stone was hushed up so much? I have seen pics of it, so have many others and yet nobody wants to act like it exists and people still call a 330g stone the main mass when in reality, its far from the main mass. I dont like the trend with new falls and the prices that go with them, its taking advantage of collectors. Thats the whole reason I sold my WI material at $60 or less when others were still getting $100 or more... and I got many mean emails filled with profanity over putting that price public... Why? They knew they it would hurt the value. I did not sell it for that to do that, I did it because its not worth any more then that, and anyone who says it is, I ask again, why? There is likely 10kg or more of the fall, its not rare by any means. Sure there is a price to pay for those that cant make it to the fall site, but when is it too much? Greg Catterton www.wanderingstarmeteorites.com IMCA member 4682 On Ebay: http://stores.shop.ebay.com/wanderingstarmeteorites On Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/WanderingStarMeteorites --- On Thu, 7/1/10, Galactic Stone & Ironworks <meteoritemike at gmail.com> wrote: > From: Galactic Stone & Ironworks <meteoritemike at gmail.com> > Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Trends with WI Fall and alike for July > To: "Mike Bandli" <fuzzfoot at comcast.net> > Cc: meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com, "Shawn Alan" <photophlow at yahoo.com> > Date: Thursday, July 1, 2010, 2:40 PM > "In the end, I think this is all > being overanalyzed to death. There is no > magic formula for determining what the price is going to > do. Did the price > go down on Puerto Lapice, or Villalbeto de la Pe?a, or > Daule, or > Leighlinbridge? I bet many wish they did not wait for > prices to fall on > those." > > Agreed here.? There is only one certainty about the > meteorite market - > she is fickle mistress. ;) > > There some falls that will never come down in price, due to > scarcity > of available specimens.? Cali is a good example I > think.? Whetstone > will likely hold it's value well. > > Maybe a good discussion would be "ATW" - or available total > weight.? A > fall may have a sizeable TKW, but if the majority of the > material is > locked away from the private market, then the price will > reflect that. > > Best regards, > > MikeG > > On 7/1/10, Mike Bandli <fuzzfoot at comcast.net> > wrote: > > MikeG wrote: "The TKW is vastly different, but TKW > should not be a factor in > > a fall being considered "historical."" > > > > I think you mean "historic," but I said nothing about > TKW meaning something > > was historic or that Buzzard was not significant. > > > > In the end, I think this is all being overanalyzed to > death. There is no > > magic formula for determining what the price is going > to do. Did the price > > go down on Puerto Lapice, or Villalbeto de la Pe?a, > or Daule, or > > Leighlinbridge? I bet many wish they did not wait for > prices to fall on > > those. > > > > Cheers! > > > > Mike Bandli > > > > ---------------------------------------------- > > Mike Bandli > > Historic Meteorites > > www.HistoricMeteorites.com > > IMCA #5765 > > ----------------------------------------------- > > > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: Galactic Stone & Ironworks [mailto:meteoritemike at gmail.com] > > Sent: Thursday, July 01, 2010 9:23 AM > > To: Mike Bandli > > Cc: Shawn Alan; meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com > > Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Trends with WI Fall and > alike for July > > > > Hi Mike and List, > > > > No, I did not mean that first buyers are all > inexperienced or > > impatient.? Some are.? Some are not.? > We all have different reasons > > for acquiring certain meteorites and the "first on the > block" > > mentality appeals to many.? If money was no > concern for me, I would > > all sizeable specimens of every fall I > mentioned.? But I must be very > > careful with my funds - or my wife will kill me or the > pantry will go > > empty. > > > >? Whetstone Mountains - the first recovered > Arizona fall in nearly 100 years. > >> Probably the most documented recovery in history. > Very little available to > >> collectors. Fireball captured on video. > > > > Buzzard Coulee - first ever recovered fall in > Saskatchewan.? Fireball > > captured on video to great effect.? The TKW is > vastly different, but > > TKW should not be a factor in a fall being considered > "historical" > > (IMO) - if so, every tiny Antarctic fragment would > have historical > > significance despite not being witnessed.? The > prices for Buzzard are > > much lower than Whetstone and the only difference is > TKW - not > > historical significance. > > > >> Daule - the first and only Ecuadorian meteorite to > ever be recovered. > >> Obviously an historic event for Ecuador. Beautiful > shock breccia. Under > > one > >> kilo available to collectors. > > > > Ok, I am schooled on this one.? I did not recall > that the TKW was less > > than one kilo and I did not recall that it was > Ecuador's first.? I > > think the price on Daule has remained high not because > of it's > > historical significance, but because the supply is > tied up in the > > hands of a very few dealers who have coordinated their > prices - > > essentially the price is fixed on Daule and the same > could be argued > > (true or not) for Whetstone. > > > >> Wisconsin - the most covered fall in history. > Witnessed by tens of > > thousands > >> of people. Stunning breccia. Low recovered weight > and horrible search/find > >> ratio (much more expensive to find). The pre-rain, > low-oxidized material > >> will always hold a premium, because the contrast > of the breccia is lost > > with > >> oxidation. I believe this one will also be orbit > calculated. > > > > Like Ecuador, it is a beautiful breccia - but that is > an aesthetic > > concern.? There are tons of gorgeous breccias on > the market.? NWA 788 > > is a gorgeous breccia but it sells for pennies > compared to Daule, Ash > > Creek, Peekskill or Wisconsin.? Of course, I am > comparing a NWA find > > to a witnessed fall, but a pretty breccia is a pretty > breccia, and > > it's not rare.? I am very eager to hear more > about Wisconsin, > > including the classification data and orbit if it is > calculated.? It > > is odd that the TKW of Wisconsin will likely be much > lower than Ash > > Creek, yet already the Wisconsin prices are dropping > faster than Ash > > Creek did.? Odd. > > > >> For those of us who don't view things through the > prisms of type or price, > >> all meteorite falls and recoveries are special and > significant events. > > > > I agree here.? These are truly amazing events and > opportunities to > > educate people about science.? But I would remiss > to ignore the > > economic factors behind the valuation criteria.? > Whetstone Mountains > > is a great fall and I do not mean to denigrate it in > any way.? But few > > would argue that the promotional strategy behind that > fall played a > > significant role in it's market pricing.? > Schrader, Gheesling, Farmer > > and others did a great job in promoting the highlights > of this fall - > > without that marketing machine, it may have faded into > obscurity (and > > the bargain bin) much quicker.? Some would argue > that it was not > > "marketing" or "promotion" per-se, but perceptions > cannot be ignored > > and there is a perception that these forces were at > work behind that > > fall. > > > > Best regards and happy huntings, > > > > MikeG > > > > > > > > > > > > > > On 7/1/10, Mike Bandli <fuzzfoot at comcast.net> > wrote: > >> Hello MikeG, > >> > >> Maybe you don't mean it, but your post implies > that those that don't wait > >> for some kind of price drop are inexperienced, > impatient, or na?ve. This > >> couldn't be further from the truth. Many of those > that purchase > > immediately > >> are just the opposite - experienced, long-time > collectors. It has nothing > > to > >> do with "being the first on the block to own it." > In the case of > > Wisconsin, > >> many wanted complete stones, which were few and > far between. Many wanted > >> pre-rain material. Whatever the reason, they are > all good reasons, and > >> everyone is happy. > >> > >> MikeG wrote: "Despite the marketing hype, there is > little special about > > any > >> of them beyond the significance the buyer attaches > to them." > >> > >> I won't attach any significance to them, but will > state the facts: > >> > >> Whetstone Mountains - the first recovered Arizona > fall in nearly 100 > > years. > >> Probably the most documented recovery in history. > Very little available to > >> collectors. Fireball captured on video. > >> > >> Daule - the first and only Ecuadorian meteorite to > ever be recovered. > >> Obviously an historic event for Ecuador. Beautiful > shock breccia. Under > > one > >> kilo available to collectors. > >> > >> Wisconsin - the most covered fall in history. > Witnessed by tens of > > thousands > >> of people. Stunning breccia. Low recovered weight > and horrible search/find > >> ratio (much more expensive to find). The pre-rain, > low-oxidized material > >> will always hold a premium, because the contrast > of the breccia is lost > > with > >> oxidation. I believe this one will also be orbit > calculated. > >> > >> For those of us who don't view things through the > prisms of type or price, > >> all meteorite falls and recoveries are special and > significant events. > >> > >> Best regards, > >> > >> Mike Bandli > >> > >> ---------------------------------------------- > >> Mike Bandli > >> Historic Meteorites > >> www.HistoricMeteorites.com > >> IMCA #5765 > >> ----------------------------------------------- > >> > >> -----Original Message----- > >> From: meteorite-list-bounces at meteoritecentral.com > >> [mailto:meteorite-list-bounces at meteoritecentral.com] > On Behalf Of Galactic > >> Stone & Ironworks > >> Sent: Thursday, July 01, 2010 7:26 AM > >> To: Shawn Alan > >> Cc: meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com > >> Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Trends with WI Fall > and alike for July > >> > >> Hi Shawn and List, > >> > >> Perhaps I am off-base here, but I think we are > witnessing (in part) a > >> dynamic of collecting meteorites. > >> > >> New collectors are steadily entering this > field/hobby and those who > >> stay will mature and learn.? Their knowledge > of meteoritics, > >> collecting, and the market will increase with > their experience.? What > >> we saw with Ash Creek is different than what we > are seeing now with > >> Wisconsin because the greater collector market is > maturing.? Perhaps > >> now we are in-between the influx crowds of newbies > and the majority of > >> current collectors are becoming more savvy in > their purchases.? One of > >> the first lessons about falls that newbies learn > is patience.? It's > >> the same with most things - the first person on > the block to have a > >> thing, pays much more for that thing.? So the > rest of the people sit > >> back and wait for the price to come down - which > it usually does. > >> Those who wanted to be the first on the block to > own Wisconsin now > >> have it, and now the rest of us are waiting to get > a better price. > >> The new and inexperienced will rush out to pay top > dollar for a common > >> chondrite because it is exciting to them, > regardless of the petrologic > >> type or circumstances of the fall.? Perhaps > the "Class of Ash Creek" > >> has graduated and now we are seeing the benefits > of patience, rational > >> assessment, and experience. > >> > >> Of course, this could change in a moment when the > second season of > >> Meteorite Men starts and a new flock of eager > beginners discovers > >> meteorites.? Or when the next brilliant > fireball goes viral on > >> YouTube. > >> > >> I still don't own a sizeable specimen of Ash > Creek, Whetstone > >> Mountains, Daule, or Wisconsin and I won't until > the right price comes > >> along.? Those falls just don't fit into my > collecting scheme - because > >> they are ordinary chondrites that fell under > ordinary circumstances > >> (for the most part).? Despite the marketing > hype, there is little > >> special about any of them beyond the significance > the buyer attaches > >> to them.? Do any of the above have the > makings of a truly "historical" > >> fall - maybe, maybe not.? Are they rare > types? No.? I'm not trying to > >> downplay any of these falls, but I think few would > argue that these > >> falls were well worth the prices they were > introduced at. > >> > >> Best regards, > >> > >> MikeG > >> > >> On 7/1/10, Shawn Alan <photophlow at yahoo.com> > wrote: > >>> Hello Listers, > >>> > >>> I have noticed with the Livingston WI > meteorite Fall in April that the > >>> prices were at a good high, well over $100 a > gram for the first month > >> being > >>> sold on eBay and alike. And then a rush > happened over night with a few > >>> sellers on eBay and the meteorite market and > it was mayhem. However, in > >> the > >>> past few weeks I have noticed prices dropping > low, and I mean low. > > Tonight > >>> on eBay a WI slice weighing at 3.8 sold at $78 > and another slice at 9.66g > >>> sold at $285. > >>> > >>> With other recent falls they tend to stay high > for the first year from > >> what > >>> I have seen with sales and research, but with > the WI fall this isn't the > >>> case. I am left to wondering why is it with > this fall that it had a great > >>> led in sales in the first month and dropped so > low in less then 2 months, > >>> not to mention the lack of WI meteorites found > in the field? Is it that > >>> majority of the WI fall meteorites are being > sold at a recorded high > >> weight, > >>> dealers selling the big boys all at once? > >>> > >>> I see that this coming month that sales with > historic falls will keep > >> going > >>> up and the exchange of rare and special > meteorite falls will be revisited > >>> for the fact of the rich history they command > in the market and with > >>> collectors alike. Also not to mention, the new > NWAs that keep popping up > >>> will bring a new twist to the collecting > world. All I can say is history > >>> repeats its self and history can out weigh > anything through and through > >>> again while trends come and go. Hold on and > lets see what July brings for > >>> the hot summer month to cool our needs for > meteorites. > >>> > >>> Shawn Alan > >>> IMCA 1633 > >>> eBaystore > >>> > >> > > http://shop.ebay.com/photophlow/m.html?_nkw=&_armrs=1&_from=&_ipg=&_trksid=p > >> 4340 > >>> > ______________________________________________ > >>> Visit the Archives at > >>> http://www.meteoritecentral.com/mailing-list-archives.html > >>> Meteorite-list mailing list > >>> Meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com > >>> http://six.pairlist.net/mailman/listinfo/meteorite-list > >>> > >> > >> > >> -- > >> > ------------------------------------------------------------ > >> Mike Gilmer - Galactic Stone & Ironworks > Meteorites > >> http://www.galactic-stone.com > >> http://www.facebook.com/galacticstone > >> > ------------------------------------------------------------ > >> ______________________________________________ > >> Visit the Archives at > >> http://www.meteoritecentral.com/mailing-list-archives.html > >> Meteorite-list mailing list > >> Meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com > >> http://six.pairlist.net/mailman/listinfo/meteorite-list > >> > >> > > > > > > -- > > > ------------------------------------------------------------ > > Mike Gilmer - Galactic Stone & Ironworks > Meteorites > > http://www.galactic-stone.com > > http://www.facebook.com/galacticstone > > > ------------------------------------------------------------ > > > > > > > -- > ------------------------------------------------------------ > Mike Gilmer - Galactic Stone & Ironworks Meteorites > http://www.galactic-stone.com > http://www.facebook.com/galacticstone > ------------------------------------------------------------ > ______________________________________________ > Visit the Archives at http://www.meteoritecentral.com/mailing-list-archives.html > Meteorite-list mailing list > Meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com > http://six.pairlist.net/mailman/listinfo/meteorite-list > Received on Thu 01 Jul 2010 04:05:09 PM PDT |
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