[meteorite-list] Alien Contact Predicted

From: Mark Ford <mark.ford_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Tue, 25 Aug 2009 14:18:30 +0100
Message-ID: <29A9DB45B84970458190D7D39BD42C49724695_at_gamma.ssl.atw>

Drake says:

N = R x Fp X ne X fl X Fi X fc X L

my reckoning:

1 = 1 X 30% X 0.1 X 40% X 40% X 29% X 1000

Where

R = The number of stars in a similar class to ours born each year
Fp = Percentage of stars that for planets
Ne = Number of planets for each star that have the right conditions for
life
Fl = Percentage of planets with suitable conditions for life to exist,
which start life
Fi = Percentage of planets with life that go on to develop intelligent
life
Fc = Percentage intelligent planets that develop communication
technology
L = Number of years each civilization survives for (in a communicable
state)

:. So no supprise we 'aint heard from no ET... (and imho, I'm being
fairly optimistic about planets forming life supporting conditions)



Mark

> Eric:
>
> It's my belief that We Are Alone! There's nobody out there. Life and

> intelligence is a singularity, a miracle, call it what you will, it
only
> happened once, here on good old Planet Earth. We are the Seed that
will
> spread throughout the Universe by Space Migration. It's our manifest
> destiny and a matter of survival. Nobody knows how or why it
happened, it
> just did. It was either God or chance, take your pick. There are
those
> who claim otherwise, but they have yet to provide even the thinnest
shred
> of evidence. Those who make extraordinary claims must provide some
> extraordinary evidence to back it up. And they never do! Not one
person
> abducted by ETs has ever grabbed an alien cellphone or anything else
to
> prove they were aboard an intergalactic space ship.
>
> The argument for aliens goes something like this: "Well there's
billions
> and billions of galaxies, one of them has to harbor life. It just has
to!
> You know, a billion monkeys typing for a billion years, and one of
them
> writes a Shakespearean Sonnet or the Book of Genesis, whatever. I
think
> they will just type gibberish for eternity. Life doesn't just pop up
all
> over the place. It can never be created in the laboratory. It's
impossible
> to make live stuff out of dead stuff! (Except for that one time.)
>
> This argument puts a lot of faith in Chance and the Laws of
Probability.
> Might as well say Yahweh or Brahma did it. Evolution guided by chance
and
> probability, how is that any different from chaos and total
randomness?
>
> And why do the aliens always appear in trailer parks and never at
Houston
> Control, NAU, or the JPL?
>
> Now if I could see one bit of hard evidence, I would change my mind in
a
> minute.
>
> Just my dos pesos,
>
> Phil Whitmer
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Received on Tue 25 Aug 2009 09:18:30 AM PDT