[meteorite-list] Meteorites that can't get any, Casper the frendly theif, and a deeply stupid article
From: Don Rawlings <psc2410xi_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2008 06:49:59 -0700 (PDT) Message-ID: <541024.43466.qm_at_web59305.mail.re1.yahoo.com> Just consider the source of the meteorite section of this article....Michael Casper. To quote a comic book hero..."nuff said" Don Rawlings --- On Wed, 10/22/08, Darren Garrison <cynapse at charter.net> wrote: > From: Darren Garrison <cynapse at charter.net> > Subject: [meteorite-list] Meteorites that can't get any, Casper the frendly theif, and a deeply stupid article > To: Meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com > Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2008, 12:37 PM > http://www.forbes.com/markets/2008/10/21/comic-book-bubbles-markets-bubbles08-cx_ds_1021tiny.html > > Tyrannosaurs And Superheroes > David Serchuk, 10.21.08, 6:00 PM ET > > The meteorite market has crashed to Earth, and will never > reach the heights > again. > > In the late 1990s, during the great meteorite bubble, a > gram of material from > the Martian Zagami meteorite could go for $2,000. Today it > fetches $200. The > Christy's auction house sold a tenth of a gram of lunar > rock for several hundred > thousand dollars. Today lunar material fetches $400 a gram. > > What happened? What always seems to happen in a bubble: > Demand lead to > speculative hoarding, which lead to oversupply, which lead > to a crash. > > The meteorite craze started in 1997, when European > prospectors in the Sahara > found meteorites that, due to the dry climate, were > practically virgin. At > first, the stones traded among just a few hands, but soon > mania spread. Before > long, it began to display the usual signs of a bubble, > including people sitting > on collections instead of selling them. That lead to what > was once > inconceivable: a meteorite glut. > > "By 2001 everybody and their grandmother was in the > Sahara," says meteorite > dealer and appraiser Michael Casper. Nomadic tribesmen > started dealing the > rocks, and over a million grams of once scarce material > flooded the market. That > same year the craze imploded, and it hasn't returned. > In Pictures: Tiny Bubbles From Baseball Cards To Beanie > Babies > > A similar bubble occurred at roughly the same time in the > fossil market. Through > the late '90s, animal fossils appreciated in price, > fueled by novelty and the > plentiful money coming out of the tech bubble. The signal > event of this craze > was Sotheby's (nyse: BID - news - people ) 1997 sale of > renowned T. rex skeleton > "Sue" for $8.4 million. > > "It was a surprising peak," says Peter Larson, > paleontologist and president of > the Black Hills Institute. "It brought eight times > more than I thought." > > Fossil-mania ran wild. Hollywood players like Nicholas > Cage, Ron Howard and > Leonardo DiCaprio maintained collections. Another T. rex, > named Barnum, was > bought by a team of investors who paid over $1 million > dollars, hoping to flip > the fossil. It eventually sold in 2006, for just $190,000. > > The bubble began to deflate when would-be flippers realized > that fossil-hunting > wasn't easy labor. "So much work and expertise > needs to go into this," says > Larson. "It's not the same thing as picking up a > meteorite, or a coin. Most of > the price (for a fossil) is in the labor." > > Unlike in the meteorite crash, the higher end of the fossil > world has held > value, even if it's not commanding the prices of the > bubble's peak. "People > still want to put their money into something real that will > maintain its value," > says Larson. "Rice, corn and trilobites will always > have some value." > > One of the hallmarks of a bubble is that dealers find many > different ways to > market and resell a single product. Take the comic book > boom that started in the > mid-1980s. Comic book publishers would come to produce > variant covers of the > same issue, inciting collectors to buy the same product > multiple times. > Collectors then hoarded the books, ensuring a glut. Much > like repackaged > mortgages, buyers found that a different cover on the same > product was no > indication of safety, quality or long-term desirability. > > Throughout the late '80s, and into the early '90s, > the bubble grew higher, says > Joseph Koch, a partner in New York City-based comic book > store Forbidden Planet. > There were far too many books for too few customers, he > says. Dealers would buy > cases of comic books for $2000, and only sell a few of the > comics, holding onto > the rest in hopes they'd go up in value. Like > over-leveraged banks, dealers even > went into hock with their distributors to buy more cases. > > Eventually it all backfired. Things came to a head during > what is known in the > comics biz as "Black April," in 1993. A number of > different comics companies > released heavily hyped books all at the same time, > including Tribe, The Return > of Superman and Turok. Customers initially lined up to buy, > and values rose, but > something went wrong. The problem, Koch says, was that > collectors realized they > didn't own anything valuable, because there was no > scarcity. "It turned out that > people had been buying comics by the case, and feeding them > out slowly, but > there were more copies than people realized," he says. > > The backlash was widespread. Stores went out business as > collectors failed to > buy dealers out of debt. The new wave of books ended up not > being worth all that > much, either. At the time, Ghost Rider was a hot title, and > issue Nos. 4 and 5 > traded for $10 each. Today they go for $2.50. > > The pain spread to the comic publishers. Marvel Comics had > two waves of firings, > and smaller companies like Valiant Comics folded outright. > > Naturally, there were titles that emerged from the hype > that have appreciated in > value. Few traders paid attention to the early issues of > Earthworm Jim, but > today they trade at $10 apiece. You see, no one collected > it. > > And the top end of the comics market has not only survived, > but thrived. A > pristine copy of August 1962's Amazing Fantasy No. 15, > best known as the > introduction of Spider-Man, sells today for $360,000. Okay, > Earthworm Jim, let's > see what you've got. > ______________________________________________ > http://www.meteoritecentral.com > Meteorite-list mailing list > Meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com > http://six.pairlist.net/mailman/listinfo/meteorite-list Received on Thu 23 Oct 2008 09:49:59 AM PDT |
StumbleUpon del.icio.us Yahoo MyWeb |