[meteorite-list] Re: Crackpot Theory Redux
From: Sterling K. Webb <kelly_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Mon Oct 31 03:04:24 2005 Message-ID: <4365CFDA.FC43FC51_at_bhil.com> Hi, G?ran, Axel, List! Right you are, G?ran. I screwed up the calculation. It was too late for me too :-} It's probably always too late for me... The surface area of the Earth is 500,000,000 square KILOMETERS, not square meters, and half is 2.5 x 10^14 m^2! You're using the cross-sectional area, which is more reasonable. We don't even need to consider the total for the Earth at all, really. We're interested in the energy per unit area. The rain of iron particles might not impact the whole Earth. (1 kg x (4 x10^5)^2)/2 => 8 x 10^10 joules for each square meter. The thermophysical calorie is about 4 - 1/8 joule, so the 1,941,340,000 calories is the same value as the 8 x 10^10 joules. Yes, the solar flux figure is per second. or 1400 W/m^2 per second. So, the 8 x 10^10 joules is equal to 57,142,857 times the Sun's flux! Man, that's hot! Of course that's for 1 kilogram of iron (entering at 400,000 meters per second) per m^2 per second. For 1 gram per m^2 per second, it would be 57,143 times the solar flux. For 1 milligram, it would be 57 times the Sun's flux IF that mass were evenly distributed over the square meter. A Type Ia supernova ejects about one solar mass of iron into the interstellar medium over a roughly 100 day period That would be 2 ? 10^33 grams of iron from a surface of 1.2 x 10^13 m^2. That's a density of 1.7 x 10^20 g per m^2 expelled over 10^7 seconds, or 1.7 x 10^13 g per m^2 per second expelled at 10^7 m/sec, or a per second density of 1.7 x 10^6 g per m^2. At an expanded 10 light year radius out from the star, that density is reduced to about 60 milligrams per square meter per second in-fall flux of iron particles. At 100 light years out, the flux is 6 milligrams per square meter per second. That is still enough to produce 320 times the solar flux on impact with the atmosphere at 400 km/second. But at 40 km/sec, it's only 3.2 times the solar flux. HOWEVER (and that's a big "however"), I don't believe that the iron particles would be moving at these velocities. While they are expelled at very high speeds, nobody repealed the law of gravity. As an escaping particle leaves a large body at high speed, the gravity of that body continually reduces its velocity as it travels away. The escape velocity of such a heavy star is several thousand km per second. (The Sun's escape velocity is 617,000 m/sec!) Moreover, the iron grains' interaction with the gas that envelopes it will further slow its velocity. Interstellar dust clouds have velocities of 10's of km/sec, not hundreds. I don't know, and I'm not sure anybody knows the actual velocities of iron grains expelled from a supernova. They have never been observed in motion, fast or slow. All we know about them is that they exist. So all of this is problematic. We are at a primitive stage in our under- standing of the post-implosion dynamics of a supernova. However, I have to hand it to you, Axel. Your intuition was correct. The impact of even small amounts of matter at high speeds into the upper atmosphere seems to be capable of producing a Big Flash, always assuming I didn't screw up the math again... The real question is, are there such high-speed particles in the real world? I also ran across this reference to atmospheric impact generated heat: <http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/SIC/impact_cratering/Enviropages/wildfiresweb.html> Speaking of the Chicxulub impact: "Jay Melosh at the University of Arizona and several of his colleagues realized that the post-impact fires were produced when impact ejecta superheated the atmosphere. Some of the debris ejected from the Chicxulub crater rose above the Earth's atmosphere before it rained back down to Earth. The particles of material in the ejecta plume, just like falling meteors, heated the atmosphere. There was so much debris falling through the atmosphere at the same time, that it heated the atmosphere to far higher temperatures than individual meteors . A large fraction of this heat was radiated to the ground, raising surface temperatures to several hundreds of degrees and causing vegetation to burst into flames." And this: "New model calculations of these processes by David Kring (Univ. Arizona) and Daniel D. Durda (Southwest Research Institute) show how the fires were ignited, initially around the impact site and, soon afterwards, at a spot on the opposite side of the Earth where a concentrated stream of debris rained back down on Earth." These debris would not be high-speed impacts, like the iron grains are supposed to be, but sub-orbital re-entries of massive amounts of material. But small quantities of much faster material could produce the same result. Perhaps only a tiny fraction of the iron grains achieve high velocity in the initial explosion of the supernova and the rest are expelled at lesser velocities. The truth is we just don't know. A lengthy Google search demonstrates that no one has actually recovered a single supernova pure iron grain, from meteorites or from cosmic dust. We know they exist because of the purely theoretical knowledge of the nuclear transformations that take place in the stars that go supernova. The vast cosmic abundance of iron is due to its production in supernovae. We know that 60-Fe is produced only in supernovae or rarely by cosmic ray impact, so finding an atom of 60-Fe is proof of a recent supernova, since 60-Fe has a half-life of only 1,500,000 years. Having a sky flux as great as the Sun's light flux is not that rare. I once saw a daytime bolide that produced secondary shadows almost as dark as the primary shadows from the Sun, so it had a light flux almost as great as the Sun's. I certainly didn't feel any heat from it! Certainly, if there is a rain of fast iron particles from a supernova, they won't hit the ground (or mammoth tusks) as Firestone thinks they will, but if they exist, they could well produce a devastating thermal event. Since there are claims of finding carbon (soot) layers from the 65-million year old impact, surely there would be plenty of evidence of an atmosphere flash heating event only a few thousand years ago? But there isn't such evidence, so... Sterling K. Webb ------------------------------------------ G?ran Axelsson wrote: > Hi! > > It's too late for me to do all the math, but I think you got some > numbers wrong. It breaks the physics law of common sense. > > One kg iron hitting the earth at 4x10^5m/s gives 0.5 joule per square > meter... > (mv^2)/2=8x10^10 joule => 320J/m^2... wait a minute. The earth radius is > approximative 6370 km which gives a cross section of R^2*pi=1.25*10^14, > a lot more than your 250*10^6 m^2. This gives 0.6 mJ energy per square > meter. > > 250.000.000 square meters sounds big at first, but that would have us > standing 24 persons on each square meter. A teenyy weeny more crowded > than the earth of today. > > The solar flux is missing a dimension. 1400J/m^2, is it per second? per > hour? year? > I think it is per second which gives 1400 W/m^2. > If your calculations were correct with 2.8 tons of iron hitting the > atmosphere per square meter (per second) to give the same effect as the > solar flux, then the opposite reasoning would also be valid. The sun > would dump enough energy onto the earth that it would be enough to give > 2.8 tons of matter escape velocity (every second). This is the > unrealistic part, the sun would boil the surface of the earth at that > intensity. > You forgot to divide the mass with the area. > > This is not saying that this theory is valid, only that your > calculations are out of this world. > > :-) > > Regards, G?ran > > > Every kilogram of material striking the > >atmosphere at 40,000 m/sec (average for a > >meteoroid) generates a specific heat > >(proportional to temperature) of 194,134 > >calories. That's 8.12256656 ? 10^12 ergs. > >At 400,000 m/sec, it's 100 times greater, or > >8.12256656 ? 10^14 ergs. The surface area of > >ONE SIDE of the Earth is 250,000,000 m^2. > >So the average energy delivered is > >3,000,000 ergs per m^2 per kg, at this > >velocity, or about 1/2 of a joule. > > > > The Sun's flux is about 1400 joules > >per m^2, so to equal the heat of Sun, > >the event would require 2800 kilos > >PER SQUARE METER impacting the atmosphere, > >or more than a ton of iron particles per > >square meter. This is unlikely many light > >years from a supernova. (If you were closer, > >you'd have other, bigger problems!) > > > > Big sigh of relief... On the other hand, > >this calculation raises an interesting point > >for meteoritics. The impact of a really big > >object (100's of meters) would involve the > >atmospheric impact (first) of billions of > >kilos in a few thousand square meter area. > > > > Received on Mon 31 Oct 2005 03:03:39 AM PST |
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