[meteorite-list] Mars life concerns
From: MexicoDoug_at_aol.com <MexicoDoug_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Tue Jul 19 12:59:45 2005 Message-ID: <202.5e58c60.300e8b79_at_aol.com> Mark Fr. wrote: >There's also a non-zero probability that gravity will reverse, >time will speed up suddenly, evolution will cease, and that >monkeys will fly out of my butt. Hi Mark, Now that was a vile (bile?) respone! Was it from a John Carrey movie or an original? I'll keep my reply short just responding to the "scientifically" reasonable objections, as your branded horse sense-based arguments strike me as much weaker that you realize. 1. What you seemed to be emphasizing in your first post was the probability that the astronauts contaminated specifically the (apparently virgin) part of the camera insulation during there journey back to earth. 2. A typical sneeze has, what, 50,000 diverse microbe individuals? A typical human hand, how many, 100,000,000 diverse individuals (95% under the fingernails)? 3. And now you would expect me to believe using "an iota of horse sense" that all 100 organisms being identical are the result of a someone "sneezing on a lab bench", adding that you are reasonably sure there were other microbes there, too that went undetected and blame it on unknown errors and your view of limitations in analysis? You could be right, of course, we'll never know. Because in the end you just have a series of assumptions you are making regarding an analysis done by a technician before you were born, in which you impose own pet biases as well. 4. You also agreed with my pirated statement from the NASA website pointing out the apparent fact that none of the other rocks or camera parts were contaminated (detected as such), but say this only further proves it was contamination because it wasn't repeated? That is uncommon horse sense. My sense tell me there would have been at least one more "false positive" setting off bells and whistles in all those rocks that were handled in a similar manner by the astronauts regarding the possibility of contamination. 5. I don't know why the positive result was specific to exactly one species and 50-100 dormant individuals of this species -and only this species- were detected and somehow subsequently cultured at the CDC. I do believe it is a good argument against that random sneeze or astronaut sweat which targetted the inner insulation. And if makes me speculate if that particular organism is particularly hardy as a space traveller, under the selective pressures and circumstances that could have been present. The good news is all is easily testable. It is interesting to note that as Ron mentioned a few NASA employee objections, there is also a view from an analyst within the CDC: That the NASA post flight handling at the Houston lab under Jaffe is the most likely point of contamination, if contamination could have occurred. The plot thickens aimlessly... My problem here is not to acknowledge a possibility of post-contamination. It is the confidence which you have in your exaggerated statements of probability in trying to revise results you feel you know best due to your training. There is a reason this remains an open controversy. Send those contaminated monkeys back where they came from... Se acab? Doug Received on Tue 19 Jul 2005 12:59:37 PM PDT |
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