AW: [meteorite-list] 2004 MN4 updated odds

From: stan . <laser_maniac_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Mon Dec 27 04:47:03 2004
Message-ID: <BAY101-F5130B3C6437B035EAFFA3F0990_at_phx.gbl>

according to the link i posted earlier the explosive yeild of an impact
would be equivalent to about 1.4 gigatons

based only on size of the object - that should produce a crater ont he order
of about 9 miles wide if it hits on land.


>From: "Bernhard Rems" <bernhard_at_bgrems.com>
>To: <Meteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com>
>Subject: AW: [meteorite-list] 2004 MN4 updated odds
>Date: Mon, 27 Dec 2004 09:56:00 +0100
>
>Anybody ever calculated what happens if this asteroid hits land/sea?
>
>Bernhard
>
>-----Ursprüngliche Nachricht-----
>Von: meteorite-list-bounces_at_meteoritecentral.com
>[mailto:meteorite-list-bounces_at_meteoritecentral.com] Im Auftrag von Matson,
>Robert
>Gesendet: Montag, 27. Dezember 2004 09:33
>An: 'stan . '; 'meteorite-list-bounces_at_meteoritecentral.com ';
>'Meteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com '
>Betreff: [meteorite-list] 2004 MN4 updated odds
>
>Hi Stan and List,
>
>Latest updated odds of impact for the 4/13/2029 encounter are
>about 1 in 37 at JPL's site. (Odds haven't been updated at
>NEODyS yet -- still 1 in 45 there). Mind you, these aren't
>the true odds of impact, but rather a measure of our current
>uncertainty in the orbit. With each passing day, the orbital
>arc is extended by about 1/2 of one percent, so the cloud of
>possible solutions 24.3 years from now is slowly shrinking.
>
>--Rob
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Received on Mon 27 Dec 2004 04:46:04 AM PST