[meteorite-list] Lunar/Martian controversy
From: ks1u <ks1u_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Thu Apr 22 10:18:02 2004 Message-ID: <007801c3c706$2053cd40$98193ccc_at_satellite> This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0075_01C3C6DC.35988A80 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Mark: Hello, you pose an interesting observation and question. The first = thing which comes to mind is that predictions based on statistics are = more likely to fall within predicted ranges when relatively high numbers = are involved. I don't recall off-hand how many of each (lunar and = Martian) meteorites there are, but the numbers are fairly small. If we = flip a coin all day we should come out to something approaching 50/50 = heads to tails. But within those results there may be strings of 10 = tails and 2 heads, or 25 heads and 13 tails etc. When you throw other = factors into the mix, some of which you mentioned, I don't think we'll = have an accurate assessment until many more specimens are collected. George=20 ------=_NextPart_000_0075_01C3C6DC.35988A80 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD> <META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; = charset=3Diso-8859-1"> <META content=3D"MSHTML 5.50.4611.1300" name=3DGENERATOR> <STYLE></STYLE> </HEAD> <BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff> <DIV>Mark:</DIV> <DIV> Hello, you pose an interesting observation = and=20 question. The first thing which comes to mind is = that predictions=20 based on statistics are more likely to fall within predicted ranges when = relatively high numbers are involved. I don't recall off-hand how = many of=20 each (lunar and Martian) meteorites there are, but the numbers are = fairly=20 small. If we flip a coin all day we should come out to = something=20 approaching 50/50 heads to tails. But within those results = there may=20 be strings of 10 tails and 2 heads, or 25 heads and 13 tails = etc. =20 When you throw other factors into the mix, some of which you mentioned, = I don't=20 think we'll have an accurate assessment until many more specimens are=20 collected.</DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>George </DIV></BODY></HTML> ------=_NextPart_000_0075_01C3C6DC.35988A80-- Received on Sat 20 Dec 2003 09:32:39 AM PST |
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