[meteorite-list] Strewn fields vs Distribution Ellipses
From: meteoriteshow <meteoriteshow_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Thu Apr 22 10:17:49 2004 Message-ID: <001801c3c498$3f4eae60$c48b4052_at_monordinateur> Thanks for those accurate information. Frederic ----- Original Message ----- From: "E. L. Jones" <jonee_at_epix.net> To: <Meteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com> Sent: Wednesday, December 17, 2003 10:55 AM Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Strewn fields vs Distribution Ellipses > Hello List, > Let me throw this out to help clarify the concepts. I have a > statistical major but after my accident some procedures are fuzzy to me > and today most is done by computers anyway, so bear with me. I'll try > too post a field technique for estimating an ellipse another time. > > The strewn field is the physical distribution of the meteorites on the > ground. It's true density, content and numbers are never known because > you never know if you have recovered the very last meteorite. It tends > to fit within an elliptical form, but when actually plotted can look > like a Rorschach figure. It dosen't have a line drawn around it--not > yet anyway. > > The Distribution Ellipse is the geometric/mathmatical representation of > the "predicted" boundary or"limit" or "edge" of the strewn field. The > first reason for computing an ellipse is to focus search and recovery > efforts. Its secondary use is to estimate angle of fall and altitude of > fragmentation. Its tertiary use is to confuse novice meteorite hunters. > When all the math and geometry is done you have an ellipse to overlay on > your map board. The statistical significance of this a prediction is > that 95%(2Standard Deveations-SD) or 99 %(3SD) of all the meteorites in > this fall lie within the ellipse. > > For actual use You duplicate the ellipse overlay on tracing paper and > give it to each hunter team and send them off to cover each sector with > an agreed upon search pattern( grid walk, etc.), adjusting assigned > sectors based on the terrain and best judgement of the search director > who may be playing every position if they are first at the scene. It > maybe wise to search the centerline first. > > As previously mentioned you need a minimum 4 points to start. Actually > there can be a little cheating as to the number of points if one of the > points includes what is clearly a large mass it is treated as two close > points--i.e. The large mass is assumed to have fallen ON axis and/or > you have additional clues as to the direction of fall. Remember this is > a recovery tool which is refined as more finds trun up. > > That said-- for an ellipse to be of search value you must have good > sampling from the whole field which you are trying to estimate and that > can be a catch-22 loop. For practical use, a laptop with a spread sheet > template or statistical package is the only efficent way to get to the > 95% confidence level and add additional locations. The inital plot will > likely become skewed as more finds are plotted and the ellipse has to be > adjusted and the new information shared with the searchers. It also > assumes that you have a simple fall and you do not have multiple > concentrations due to multiple fragmentations at altitude. > > The eccentricity of an ellipse and the length of the two axies give a > clue as to the angle of the fall and altitude of fragmentation. A narrow > ellipse suggests a lower level fragmentation because the fragments have > less time to disperse on the lateral axis before reaching the ground. An > elongated ellipse suggests a low angle of fall (shallow) with fragments > dropped along a path where the bulk of the mass carried forward momentum > longer before reaching the ground. Conversely, a wider ellipse suggests > a high altitude fragmentation. A short ellipse suggests a high overhead > (steep) angle of fall. > > Conventional wisdom says that larger masses are found at the far end of > the direction of fall. And perhaps this holds true for a simple > fall--one that has a single fragmentation episode. However Portales > Valley had the larger fragments fall to the near end of the field. > <http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/LPSC99/pdf/1964.pdf> > > An example of a complex distribution can be seen at > <http://www.saharamet.com/meteorite/data/map/ellipse.html> . Note that > there are several ellipses on the direction of fall suggesting several > fragmentation episodes. This page shows the initial ellipse from the > first expedition<http://www.saharamet.com/expedition/CO3/part1.html> See > how the ellipse plot was expanded as new material was found? The actual > strewn field recoveries are plotted both inside and outside the ellipses > where they were recovered over two or more expeditions. > > Elton > (Thank you, Dr. Jean Dyer,USARI, where ever you are) > > mike miller wrote: > > > Hello, my question is about "strewnfields" in general, not how they > > relate to a dry lake bed. I started as a meteorite hunter and have > > evolved into a hunter/collector. > > I think I understand the end of a strewnfield, the elliptical shape > > is created by most of the lighter material falling away to earth and > > the larger pieces continuing on a path down the middle of the > > strewnfield. They create a point that more or less follows the middle > > of the strewnfield. My first question is what is the reason for the > > point at the beginning of a strewnfield? > > The second part of my question is are there other types of > > "strewnfields"? More to the point, explosions that occurred closer to > > the surface and that might be described as a shotgun pattern? I would > > be interested in any other types as the only types I have heard about > > are the classic elliptical and a few related pieces. > > Thanks in advance for your thoughts and opinions. > > > > Mike Miller > > > > ______________________________________________ > Meteorite-list mailing list > Meteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com > http://www.pairlist.net/mailman/listinfo/meteorite-list > Received on Wed 17 Dec 2003 07:21:06 AM PST |
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