[meteorite-list] Astronomers Survey Sky For Big Asteroids

From: David Freeman <dfreeman_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Thu Apr 22 09:55:46 2004
Message-ID: <3C433894.1060809_at_fascination.com>

Dear Survey says:
If no people have ever been killed from an impact then.....isn't it all
just a guess? Odds of something falling I can see as it is time related
but of killing people, that would be odd since landing in siberia would
be different then Muskogee...where did someone come up with that
anyways? I don't see how they can figure odds unless they took total
earth population, and total surface area and time between events, surely
would be easier to find a needle in a haystack than come up with any
competent and realistic odds.
Davescarednot

George N. wrote:

> They are taking into account that at least several thousand people
> will likely be killed in one instance. That effects the odds
> greatly. Example: if an asteroid struck today and killed 12,500
> people. Then the odds would be accurate.
>
>
>
> George Nicula
>
> ----- Original Message -----
>
> From:Sharkkb8_at_aol.com <mailto:Sharkkb8@aol.com>
>
> To: jim_at_catchafallingstar.com <mailto:jim@catchafallingstar.com> ;
> meteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com
> <mailto:meteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com>
>
> Sent: Monday, January 14, 2002 3:29 PM
>
> Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Astronomers Survey Sky For Big Asteroids
>
>
>
>> Your answer is at the bottom of the following webpage.
>>
>> http://geowww.gcn.ou.edu/~jahern/impacts/
>> <http://geowww.gcn.ou.edu/%7Ejahern/impacts/>
>
>
>
> If the odds of dying of an asteroid/comet strike are 20,000 to 1,
> wouldn't that mean that 12,500 people (out of the USA's
> 250,000,000) figure to die that way?
>
> There is something wrong with this (surely), what is it?
>
> Gregory
>
Received on Mon 14 Jan 2002 02:59:16 PM PST