[meteorite-list] Astronomers Survey Sky For Big Asteroids

From: George N. <treasurehunter_at_meteoritecentral.com>
Date: Thu Apr 22 09:55:46 2004
Message-ID: <001d01c19d3b$ab677540$1885f718_at_tvc.chartermi.net>

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They are taking into account that at least several thousand people will =
likely be killed in one instance. That effects the odds greatly. =
Example: if an asteroid struck today and killed 12,500 people. Then the =
odds would be accurate.

George Nicula
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Sharkkb8_at_aol.com=20
  To: jim_at_catchafallingstar.com ; meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com=20
  Sent: Monday, January 14, 2002 3:29 PM
  Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Astronomers Survey Sky For Big Asteroids




    Your answer is at the bottom of the following webpage.=20

    http://geowww.gcn.ou.edu/~jahern/impacts/=20



  If the odds of dying of an asteroid/comet strike are 20,000 to 1, =
wouldn't that mean that 12,500 people (out of the USA's 250,000,000) =
figure to die that way? =20

  There is something wrong with this (surely), what is it?=20

  Gregory=20

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<DIV><FONT size=3D2>They are taking into account that at least several =
thousand=20
people will likely be killed in one instance.&nbsp; That effects the =
odds=20
greatly.&nbsp; Example: if an asteroid struck today and killed 12,500=20
people.&nbsp; Then the odds would be accurate.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>George Nicula</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3DSharkkb8_at_aol.com =
href=3D"mailto:Sharkkb8_at_aol.com">Sharkkb8@aol.com</A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Djim_at_catchafallingstar.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:jim_at_catchafallingstar.com">jim@catchafallingstar.com</A> =
; <A=20
  title=3Dmeteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:meteorite-list_at_meteoritecentral.com">meteorite-list@meteor=
itecentral.com</A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, January 14, 2002 =
3:29=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [meteorite-list] =
Astronomers=20
  Survey Sky For Big Asteroids</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV><FONT face=3Darial,helvetica><FONT size=3D2><BR>
  <BLOCKQUOTE=20
  style=3D"PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff 2px =
solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"=20
  TYPE=3D"CITE">Your answer is at the bottom of the following webpage.=20
    <BR><BR><A=20
    =
href=3D"http://geowww.gcn.ou.edu/~jahern/impacts/">http://geowww.gcn.ou.e=
du/~jahern/impacts/</A>=20
    <BR></FONT><FONT lang=3D0 face=3DArial color=3D#000000 size=3D3=20
  FAMILY=3D"SANSSERIF"></BLOCKQUOTE><BR></FONT><FONT lang=3D0 =
face=3DArial=20
  color=3D#000000 size=3D2 FAMILY=3D"SANSSERIF"><BR>If the odds of dying =
of an=20
  asteroid/comet strike are 20,000 to 1, wouldn't that mean that 12,500 =
people=20
  (out of the USA's 250,000,000) figure to die that way? &nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  <BR><BR>There is something wrong with this (surely), what is it?=20
  <BR><BR>Gregory</FONT> </FONT></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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Received on Mon 14 Jan 2002 03:40:13 PM PST


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