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Re: Fw: (meteorobs) Doomsday Icarus
- To: David Morrison <dmorrison@mail.arc.nasa.gov>
- Subject: Re: Fw: (meteorobs) Doomsday Icarus
- From: "Prof. William E. Burrows" <burrowsw@is2.nyu.edu>
- Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 14:34:09 -0800
- CC: "Victor D. Noto" <vnn2@phoenixat.com>, rpb@astron.mit.edu, elgb@lowell.edu, cchapman@boulder.swri.edu, awharris@lithos.jpl.nasa.gov, ostro@echo.jpl.nasa.gov, chyba@lpl.arizona.edu, tps.ldf@mars.planetary.org, tgehrels@lpl.arizona.edu, dhlevy@lpl.arizona.edu, marsden@cfa.harvard.edu, milani@dm.unipi.it, dky@naif.jpl.nasa.gov, zahnle@boombox.arc.nasa.gov, carusi@saturn.ias.rm.cnr.it, ma@astro.umd.edu, herdel@sol.racsa.co.cr, ASTRO@lists.mindspring.com, meteorobs@latrade.com, shallow-sky@lists.best.com, meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com, celsom-w@AMAUTA.RCP.NET.PE
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- Resent-Date: Wed, 11 Mar 1998 14:35:26 -0500 (EST)
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David Morrison wrote:
>
> Victor:
>
> The article (below) about Icarus hitting the Earth in 2006 is, of course,
> nonesense. Icarus will miss the Earth by tens of millions of kilometers.
> This is pure fiction.
>
> David Morrison
>
> >David:
> >What do you make of the following post on a number of meteor and astronomy
> >lists?
> >Victor
> >
> >----------
> >> From: C. Hernandez
> >> To: EB@ATLASTRO.ML.ORG
> >> Cc: ASTRO@lists.mindspring.com; meteorobs@latrade.com;
> >shallow-sky@lists.best.com; meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com;
> >celsom-w@AMAUTA.RCP.NET.PE
> >> Subject: (meteorobs) Doomsday Icarus
> >> Date: Tuesday, March 10, 1998 8:59 PM
> >>
> >> Celso and lists members:
> >>
> >> Following you'll find a free translation of the article published last
> >> Sunday on "La Nacion" the most popular daily newspaper of Costa Rica,
> >> and a highly reputed one, from EFE's Spanish news agency and mentioned
> >> by Celso Montalvo in his posting of today. His posting means that it has
> >> been published at least in our two countries, and who knows in how many
> >> more.
> >>
> >> As much as I didn't agree with some of the ideas of Mr. David H. Levy's
> >> article of last month's S&T, I must applaud and adhere to his comments
> >> on March's S&T page 84 as to the danger of publishing such kind of news
> >> over mass media. If C. Shramek's anouncement over the Net about the
> >> Saturn-like object could have been a cause for the tragic events of
> >> California's religious cult suicide, I just don't want to imagine what
> >> this kind of news, being true or not, can cause on the common people's
> >> beliefs.
> >>
> >> Although I don't think I will be heard, I could not let this kind of
> >> news pass uncommented and I already made my points of view known to the
> >> newspaper. Coments will be welcome over the Net too.
> >>
> >> The article reads as follows:
> >>
> >> << ASTEROID COLLISION FORESEEN
> >>
> >> EFE. Moscow
> >>
> >> Russian scientists said that the end of the world will take
> >> place in eight years, when Earth will collide with an asteroid,
> >> and only the joint effort of all countries could avoid the
> >> dramatic ending.
> >>
> >> The name of the asteroid is Icarus, with a diameter of 1.5 Km
> >> and a mass of several hundred tons, which approaches Earth at a
> >> speed of 60 Km per second.
> >>
> >> Its impact with Earth would cause an explosion equivalent to a
> >> thousand thermonuclear warheads with the power of one million
> >> tons of dynamite each, according to calculations by
> >> astrophysicists.
> >>
> >> Russian scientists alerted that the impact is "almost
> >> unavoidable" and made a plea to all states to conform a common
> >> front of action to carry out a sophisticated space project to
> >> deviate or destroy the deadly planetoid with powerful nuclear
> >> detonations.
> >>
> >> Icarus, discovered in 1949, comes near the Earth every 19 years,
> >> but each time its distance to us is reduced and its velocity
> >> increases, and scientists fear that its next visit, in the
> >> summer of 2006, will be the last one.
> >>
> >> In 1949 it passed 28 million Km away from Earth on its way to
> >> the Sun, but 19 years later, on June 14, 1968, its distance was
> >> reduced to only 6.36 million Km.
> >>
> >> The scientist Valdimir Polevanov, geologist of the Russian
> >> Natural Sciences Academy, says that the danger lies in Icarus
> >> not having a permanent orbit, because it evolves in space under
> >> he effect of the Sun and the rest of the planets.
> >>
> >> This fact makes that the threat of a collision of Icarus with
> >> Earth be "more than probable", emphasized Polevanov in an
> >> article published in the popular newspaper Trud.
> >>
> >> In the last 250 million years of Earth's history, the fauna and
> >> flora of our planet has been erased 9 times, with an average of
> >> every 30 million years and scientists opine that, at least once,
> >> this was caused by "extraterrestrial" causes.
> >>
> >> The extinction of species registered in the Cretacean and
> >> Tertiary eras of the geological history of the planet was due to
> >> the collision of an asteroid that perforated the terrestrial
> >> crust and caused "apocalyptic" consequences, said the academic.
> >>
> >> He quoted that, according to scientific data, some 1.500
> >> asteroids with a diameter superior to 1 Km have collided with
> >> Earth. He also said that those collisions are unavoidable and
> >> that "the worst" is coming in 8 years.
> >>
> >> To avoid this end, "international measures are required at the
> >> UN and its Security Council levels", and he proposed a world
> >> project called "Save the Planet".
> >>
> >> His worry was shared by Col. Vladimir Tkachenko, chief of
> >> experts of the Institute of Scientific Research on Space Systems
> >> in Russia, who told the newspaper that this institution has
> >> already elaborated a plan to "neutralize" Icarus.
> >>
> >> Many prestigious scientists believe that the collision of Icarus
> >> with Earth is unavoidable and that governments must pay
> >> attention to these voices.
> >>
> >> The project foresees the launch of a ship from which a rocket
> >> would be send to Icarus with a space platform carrying several
> >> modules that would be launched to the asteroid in turns.Upon
> >> reaching its surface, each module would bore the ground and
> >> would place powerful atomic heads which, activated
> >> simultaneously, would destroy the asteroid.>>
> >>
> >> Sorry to the lists for the lenghty post but it deserves some atention.
> >> _
> >> / \
> >> / Carlos Hernandez
> >> o Heredia, Costa Rica
> >> / "May your skies be 'pura vida' tonight"
> >> \ _ /
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >> > ----------
> >> > > From: celsom-w
> >> > > To: EB@ATLASTRO.ML.ORG
> >> > > Subject: [EB] Icaro
> >> > > Date: Monday, March 09, 1998 7:52 AM
> >> > >
> >> > > Hi friends:
> >> > >
> >> > > Yesterday I read in the newspaper that some russian astronomers have
> >> > > calculated that Icaro (asteroid, 1.5 km diam) will collide with >
> >>earth in 2006 or so. This can be a global catastrophe similar to the
> >> > > Chicxulub event, 65 million tears ago. Have you read or heard of > >
> >> > this news?
> >> > >
> >> > > Saludos.
> >> > > --
> >> > > Celso Montalvo
> >> > > ELECONT INGENIERIA S. A.
> >> > > Lima-PERU
> >> > > 12o S; 77o W.
Maybe the lead scientist in the Icarus investigation is really named
Spielbergsky?
WEBurrows
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