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Meteor increase worries scientists



http://www.usatoday.com/life/science/space/lss213.htm

If the attached web page is any indication, it's easy to see how the
media is adding to the general publics misconception of an "increase in
fireball activity!"  No amount of media interviews with "meteor experts"
will dissuade the public opinion, not after the recent comets, and
certainly not after the summer block buster (yes, the Leonid Shower,
too, but before that, the movie "Asteroids").

Even though I'm in the "no upswing" camp, I have to admit to personally
seeing more bolides and brighter meteors than in the past. For now, I'm
writing it off to increased awareness and "space junk". I know that the
Air Force tracks this debris but I'm not confident that they're
interested in reporting when it reenters the atmosphere. I hope the data
will be more accessible when NASA implements the Orbital Debris Radar.

By the way, if a bolide travels from east to west, can we rule out that
it was "space junk"?

As usual, just wondering,
Bolide Chaser

______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________
Subject: Fireballs o' Doom (was Re: (meteorobs) http://www.flatoday.c
Author:  lewkaren@tiac.net at Internet Date:    2/18/98 9:37 AM


>(Also To: Meteor Observers Mailing List )

>Victor Noto asks:
>>Could all these fireballs be the precursors to the big rock?
>>Is an extinction period beating at our door in the form of 
>>mounting numbers of bolides?

>Yipes, Victor! Well, before we all run out screaming to buy bolide >pills, can I ask what this last statement is based on? Are there some >studies I haven't heard about positing increased meteorite impact >and/or fireball instances?

>(By the way, that brings up another point to keep in mind: increased >fireballs won't necessarily correlate with increased meteorites at all! >Fireballs usually result from only relatively massive objects, whose >density or composition are NOT conducive to their surviving atmospheric >entry.)

>This could be a general question to the list: have any of the more >experienced long-term observers noticed an upswing in fireballs this >past 10, 20, or 30 years? (NORMAN & BOB: this question's especially >directed at you!) Do any of our AMS or European subscribers know of >such results in meteorics literature?

>If there ARE studies pointing in the direction of increased fireball >activity (or increased meteorite incidence), I'd genuinely love to see >references on them! This would seem a pretty significant find. Pointers >appreciated...

>Clear skies,
>Lew

-- 
*****************************
"My interest in bolides comes from my interest in self preservation.  
The odds of a person looking for a piece of a bolide, 
actually being hit by one, must be astronomical!" - Bo. Hunter
*****************************
Title: Meteor increase worries scientists
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TODAY

02/15/98- Updated 01:11 PM ET

Meteor increase worries scientists

DENVER - The phone lines to Denver's Museum of Natural History have been buzzing since a fireball streaked across the Colorado sky last month.

That flash of light, caught on a homeowner's security camera, was not an isolated incident; it was followed by at least four more fireball sightings, said Jack Murphy of the museum's geology department. He hopes to find pieces of the celestial objects for the museum's collection.

As new reports of sightings keep coming in, scientists are debating the meteorites' origin and the meaning of the increased activity. There is more at stake, they say, than where a piece of rock fell to the ground.

"These little things are the little brothers and sisters of the bigger ones," said Doug Revelle, a scientist at Los Alamos National Laboratory. "The reason for the interest is eventually a big one is going to hit, a real big one. And the question is: Can we protect ourselves?"

If a large meteor hit Earth, "life as we know it would be very different," he said.

When a fireball fell into the Earth's atmosphere on Jan. 11, a Front Range resident's home security camera documented the bright light and shadows along with the sonic boom caused by the apparent meteorite, Revelle said.

Scientists will use the time between the flash and boom - 132 seconds - to help determine where the meteorite touched down, assuming it didn't burn out before landing.

Then, at about noon on Jan. 27, a commercial airline pilot flying over Wyoming spotted "a ball of flame trailing smoke."

"He reported he did get some turbulence from the object," Jim Patton, operations supervisor for the Federal Aviation Administration's flight service center in Casper told the Rawlins, Wyo., Daily Times. "He saw the debris and felt the shock wave from it."

Residents in Breckenridge, Colo., also reported seeing that daytime fireball. Murphy said they believe the space rock was heading south to north and landed just north of Hanna, Wyo.

That night, another fireball broke into the Earth's atmosphere.

Scientists believe that meteorite came down in southern Colorado or northern New Mexico, Murphy said. People in Breckenridge spotted that fireball, too.

"That one was seen traveling east to west," Murphy said. "It has been a long time since we've seen one moving like that."

Another meteorite was seen and heard at sunrise in eastern Colorado on Jan. 30. And Murphy is investigating a report that came in earlier this month.

So what's happening?

"I don't know," Murphy said. "We can't attribute it to anything. But it is unusual to have so much activity."

University of Denver astronomer Robert Stencel suggested that Earth may be getting pelted with pieces of the Hale-Bopp comet. Early in January the Earth passed through the part of space the comet had traveled.

"Comets are like kids with muddy boots," Stencel said. "They leave a trail of debris in their wakes."

Meteorites from asteroids breaking out of the orbital belts between Mars and Jupiter are made up of metals, mostly iron. A meteorite from a comet would have a lighter element composition, Stencel said.

Such space debris is rare and would be of great scientific value, he said. Scientists will test the composition of the meteorites - if they can get their hands on them.

Revelle said he's excited about the meteorite activity, but he can't account for it.

The reports describe a smoke trail following the fireballs - or bolides, which are exploding meteors.

"The smoke trail is an indication that the object was quite big and strong," Revelle said. "Over the globe we see objects that are about a meter across an average of only 12 times a year."

Last Oct. 10, a meteorite crashed near West Texas and New Mexico; then on Dec. 9, a large fireball crashed near Greenland, and on Dec. 13, a meteorite was seen across hundreds of miles, from Minnesota and Wisconsin south into Iowa and northern Missouri.

Revelle said history may give us some insight into the meaning of the increase in fireball activity.

About 60 million years ago, an asteroid crashed into the Earth and kicked up enough dust to blot out the sun. Some scientists believe this resulted in the death of more than 80% of all animals and led to the extinction of dinosaurs.

"These events seem to occur every 60 million years, give or take 10 million," he said. "We're about three million years short of 60 million.

"In order to defend the Earth from a large meteor, we would need to know about it while it was months away to deflect it," he said. "If we knew about it when it was weeks away, it would be too late."

By The Associated Press



Copyright 1998 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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